LEVEL 02 · 80 MIN

Regression Radar

Calibrate the regression radar.

A single signal is moving through the financial system. Calibrate a two-variable model, estimate its line, audit its fit, and decide what the evidence can—and cannot—support.

MISSION OBJECTIVES

  • Specify and interpret a simple linear regression model.
  • Explain the error term and zero conditional mean assumption.
  • Calculate OLS coefficients, fitted values, and residuals.
  • Interpret TSS, ESS, RSS, correlation, and R-squared.
  • Read introductory inference and equivalent EViews/Stata output without overclaiming causality.